RAREUltragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.

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ChallengedLast material event Nov 3, 2026

Pipeline exits increase reliance on gene therapy launches and spending cuts

Ultragenyx is a commercial-stage rare-disease company that sells Crysvita, Dojolvi, Mepsevii and Evkeeza and won FDA approval in 2026 for two gene therapies, GENGLYCOS (glycogen storage disease type Ia) and FAYUVI (Sanfilippo syndrome type A).

Ultragenyx depends on marketed rare-disease revenue, GENGLYCOS and FAYUVI launches, and substantial spending cuts to deliver management's 2027 profitability target. UX701's termination and GTX-102's wind-down further narrow pipeline growth. Cash and securities were $401 million at September 30, 2026, before the GENGLYCOS voucher sale closed; the FAYUVI sale remains pending. Combined net voucher proceeds are expected to be approximately $350 million. Revenue guidance excludes new launches. DTX301's second primary endpoint remains expected in the first half of 2027.

Thesis checklist

0 risks need attention

Select a row for evidence
GENGLYCOS and FAYUVI launches gain patientsAwaiting evidenceNext: Patient starts, treatment-center delivery and reimbursed sales for GENGLYCOS and FAYUVI.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

Revenue and the voucher sale reach profitability in 2027Awaiting evidenceNext: FAYUVI voucher closing, realized spending reductions and commercial progress supporting recurring profitability.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

DTX301 meets its second Phase 3 endpointAwaiting evidenceNext: Enh3ance second primary endpoint results on ammonia-scavenger and dietary burden, expected in the first half of 2027.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

Next decision point

Do launch growth and spending cuts support recurring profitability?

Tests: Revenue and the voucher sale reach profitability in 2027

At the next financial and commercial update.

Do completed voucher sales, commercial growth and realized expense cuts support management's recurring profitability target?

Strong, inconclusive and weak outcomes

What to look for in the result and how each would move the checklist

Questions to investigate

History

Price and material events

Select an event marker to read the update below. Marker colors show Thesis status.

ChallengedCurrentClinical
+3.2%Nov 3, 2026

Pipeline exits increase reliance on gene therapy launches and spending cuts

ChallengedRegulatory
+12.6%Sep 17, 2026

FAYUVI becomes Ultragenyx’s second approved gene therapy; Aspire failure still weighs on growth

ChallengedClinical
-44.0%Sep 2, 2026

GTX-102 misses Phase 3 Aspire endpoints, removing a growth driver and forcing a program review

IntactRegulatory
-3.5%Aug 19, 2026

GENGLYCOS (DTX401) receives FDA accelerated approval for GSDIa

About this history: every entry shows when the Thesis moved and what it said. The reasoning behind each move (the evidence, the analysis and the source filing) and the earnings write-ups are part of a subscription.

Pipeline

GNE myopathy
UX016 · 1 upcoming
Phase 1/2 Study Initiation
H2 2026
Ornithine Transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency
DTX301 · 1 upcoming · 1 completed
Phase 3 Data
H1 2027
Sanfilippo syndrome type A (MPS IIIA)
Rebisufligene etisparvovec · 4 upcoming
Regulatory DecisionEU
TBD
Regulatory Alignment
TBD
Regulatory DecisionUK
TBD
NICE appraisal of UX111 in England, aligned with MHRA reviewUK
TBD
Osteogenesis imperfecta· pediatric and young adult
UX143 · 1 upcoming · 3 completed
FDA Meeting
TBD
Wilson disease
UX701 · 2 completed
Data: InterimDiscontinued
Reported Nov 3, 2026
Enrollment: Completion
Reported Nov 4, 2025
Sanfilippo syndrome type A (MPS IIIA)
UX111 · 6 completed
PDUFA Decision
Reported Sep 17, 2026
BLA Resubmission
Apr 1, 2026
Incomplete Response
Reported Feb 12, 2026
BLA Resubmission
Reported Jan 30, 2026
CRL
Jul 1, 2025
BLA Acceptance
Feb 1, 2025
Angelman syndrome· full maternal UBE3A gene deletion
GTX-102 · 2 completed
Phase 3 DataAspirePivotal
Reported Sep 2, 2026
Phase 3 Enrollment: CompletionAspirePivotal
Reported Aug 5, 2025
Glycogen Storage Disease Type Ia (GSDIa)
DTX401 · 3 completed
Approval
Reported Aug 19, 2026
BLA Submission
Reported Jan 12, 2026
Phase 3 Data: Topline
Reported Sep 8, 2025
Long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders
Dojolvi · 1 completed
Regulatory DecisionJapan
Mar 23, 2026
Angelman syndrome
GTX-102 · 2 completed
Phase 2/3 Study InitiationAurora
Reported Nov 4, 2025
Breakthrough Designation
Jun 1, 2025

Dates, trials and completed outcomes are open to everyone. What each upcoming milestone hinges on is part of a subscription.

Quick answers

Is the Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) investment thesis intact?
It is under pressure. Readouts currently rates the Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Thesis Challenged. Pipeline exits increase reliance on gene therapy launches and spending cuts.
What is the next catalyst for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE)?
The next dated event is Phase 1/2 start for UX016, expected H2 2026, as stated by the company. Also ahead: Phase 3 results for DTX301, expected H1 2027.
How long will Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical's cash last?
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical has said its cash will fund operations for at least the next 12 months (guidance as of November 4, 2026). It reported $401 million in cash as of September 30, 2026.

Competitive landscape

6 peers tracked

For informational purposes only—not investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Financial snapshot

Dates and calculation details

Cash: Market-data provider estimate; measurement period unavailable.

Debt: Market-data provider estimate; a complete comparable filing balance is unavailable.

Quarterly burn: Estimated from trailing free cash flow; measurement period unavailable.

Net cash and estimated runway require verified matching measurement periods. Missing debt components are not assumed to be zero.

Runway: No underlying guidance available.