ALMSAlumis Inc.

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Market reactionShares fell 11% on Nov 5.

ChallengedLast material event Oct 9, 2026 · Updated Oct 26, 2026

Envudeucitinib psoriasis NDA is due in Q4 2026 after the lupus trial missed overall

Alumis is developing envudeucitinib, an oral TYK2 inhibitor pill for plaque psoriasis and lupus, and A-005 for Parkinson's disease; none is approved.

Envudeucitinib, an oral TYK2 inhibitor, met all primary and secondary endpoints in two Phase 3 psoriasis trials, beating placebo and apremilast. About 65% of patients reached PASI 90 at Week 24. Alumis plans to file an NDA in the fourth quarter of 2026. In lupus, the LUMUS Phase 2b missed its endpoints overall, with responses only in a high interferon subgroup. Cash of $502.3 million funds operations into the fourth quarter of 2027, around when an FDA decision could come.

Thesis checklist

2 risks need attention

Select a row for evidence
Envudeucitinib NDA is submitted and acceptedAwaiting evidenceNext: NDA submission and FDA filing acceptance.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

Phase 3 psoriasis efficacy holds upSupportedNext: Randomized withdrawal and longer ONWARD3 data.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

Lupus path continues in a subgroupAt riskNext: Regulatory feedback on a Phase 3 design.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

Cash lasts to an approval decisionAt riskNext: Financing, partnership or quarterly cash updates.

Why it is in this state

The evidence, what would weaken it and the source filing

Next decision point

Envudeucitinib NDA submission

Tests: Envudeucitinib NDA is submitted and accepted

Fourth quarter of 2026 (company)

Does Alumis submit the psoriasis NDA on time, and does FDA accept it for review?

Strong, inconclusive and weak outcomes

What to look for in the result and how each would move the checklist

Questions to investigate

History

Price and material events

Select an event marker to read the update below. Marker colors show Thesis status.

ChallengedCurrentClinical
+2.7%Oct 9, 2026

Envudeucitinib psoriasis NDA is due in Q4 2026 after the lupus trial missed overall

ChallengedClinical
-56.6%Sep 1, 2026

Oral TYK2 inhibitor heads to a psoriasis NDA on clean Phase 3 data, but the LUMUS miss narrows the story to one indication

IntactClinical
-7.8%Aug 10, 2026

Phase 3 psoriasis data in hand, NDA filing imminent — SLE Phase 2b readout determines whether envudeucitinib becomes a multi-indication franchise

IntactClinical
+3.7%Jun 29, 2026

Phase 3 psoriasis win sets up NDA filing, but the SLE readout decides whether envudeucitinib becomes a franchise or a single-indication asset

About this history: every entry shows when the Thesis moved and what it said. The reasoning behind each move (the evidence, the analysis and the source filing) and the earnings write-ups are part of a subscription.

Pipeline

Moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis
envudeucitinib · 2 upcoming · 1 completed
NDA Submission
Q4 2026
Phase 3 Data: Long-termONWARD3
TBD
Parkinson's disease
A-005 · 1 upcoming
Phase 2 Study Initiation
1H 2027
Undisclosed indication
Undisclosed program · 1 upcoming
Phase 1 Study Initiation
H2 20262027
Systemic lupus erythematosus· IFNGS-high
envudeucitinib · 1 upcoming
End-of-Phase Meeting
TBD
Systemic lupus erythematosus
envudeucitinib · 1 completed
Phase 2b Data: ToplineLUMUS
Reported Sep 1, 2026
Thyroid eye disease
lonigutamab · 1 completed
Fast Track Designation
Reported Aug 13, 2025

Dates, trials and completed outcomes are open to everyone. What each upcoming milestone hinges on is part of a subscription.

Quick answers

Is the Alumis (ALMS) investment thesis intact?
It is under pressure. Readouts currently rates the Alumis Thesis Challenged. Envudeucitinib psoriasis NDA is due in Q4 2026 after the lupus trial missed overall.
What is the next catalyst for Alumis (ALMS)?
The next dated event is NDA submission for Envudeucitinib, expected Q4 2026, as stated by the company. Also ahead: Phase 2 start for A-005, expected 1H 2027.
How long will Alumis' cash last?
Alumis has said its cash will fund operations into Q4 2027 (guidance as of August 13, 2026). It reported $502 million in cash as of June 30, 2026.

Competitive landscape

16 peers tracked

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Financial snapshot

Dates and calculation details

Cash: Market-data provider estimate; measurement period unavailable.

Debt: Market-data provider estimate; a complete comparable filing balance is unavailable.

Quarterly burn: Estimated from trailing free cash flow; measurement period unavailable.

Net cash and estimated runway require verified matching measurement periods. Missing debt components are not assumed to be zero.

Runway: No underlying guidance available.